Thursday horse racing tips from Tom Lunn for Nottingham, Newmarket and Hamilton

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Tom Lunn has gone through the cards, form, going and much more to help guide your horse racing betting choices.

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Daily horse racing tips

• NEWMARKET
  3.25: Waleefy (1.5pts)
• Nottingham
  3.10: Blessed Honour (1pt)
• LEICESTER
  6.00: Good Good Good (1pt)
  9.00: Miami Heat (1pt)

Waleefy

Worth taking a punt on this lightly raced chestnut colt trained by William Haggas.

He was narrowly beaten in February on his second start behind Las Ramblas over a mile before taking a small break of 97 days to reappear at Leicester with a big step forward in class, which is due to that form working out incredibly well.

A change in tactics might suit nicely as he was at the back of the field last time before making headway but just lost third too, which also means this 6f trip may be even better.

Jim Crowley takes the mount this time as the usual combo of jockey and Shadwell Estate owners should make another winning mark here.

He was fourth to Socialite who went on to beat King’s Gamble at Doncaster, who himself was a decent fifth in the Britannia Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Fair Point who was in second at Leicester has also gone on to achieve a mark of 85 after winning by 20 lengths at Chester in a mismatched maiden fillies contest.

All things considered, it’s hard to go beyond this horse though Maximum Impact could be on a dangerous mark and is out for the first time since being gelded, so would represent a strong chance each-way or single if the price is right.

Blessed Honour

Power Of Destiny is the top-weight of this 1m2f contest at Nottingham, on the back of a small margin victory at Haydock where she won by a neck to Cabrera.

That form is decent enough but will now have a 7lb penalty to the much preferred Blessed Honour.

She went a close second to stablemate Precious Jewel in a Class 2 novice fillies contest back in May and while that hasn’t been massively boosted with the winner going on to miss as the favourite next time out, there’s still much more potential.

Blessed Honour will now get William Buick on board giving the Dubawi filly a great shot in general.

She was upped to 1m4f from 1m on her seasonal debut and ought to be better suited by this trip and conditions.

Good Good Good

Good Good Good was a runaway winner at Yarmouth on debut and shaped as though that was just the start.

She’s dropped to 5f this time from that 6f rout now though and takes on Capo Vaticano who also won debut, before placing third on their subsequent run.

But she was third just behind Gaenari who has a mark of 88 (overall rating) who also had 6lb in hand over Capo Vaticano.

Airman also that mark though, yet was carrying 11lb more than Gaenari, so though it’s up there the form is still to be fully sorted.

Good Good Good was far ahead of Arkhalia Flynn in second who has a mark of 70, but was beaten so comfortably and on debut that suggests this more unexposed filly could have even more to show.

Miami Heat

Havana Grey gelding Miami Heat has been in respectable places on his two starts this season, his first two contests since being gelded and switching to George Boughey’s yard.

He wasn’t too far off South Shore at Windsor before going slightly closer to Mr Irrelevant at Hamilton over 6f and now is dropped in trip to the sprint distance of 5f for the first time.

He’s got good previous form where he’s shown clear promise as a two-year-old behind the likes of Indian Run and Devil’s Point, before winning at Kempton over 7f.

There’s got to be a big reason for the drop in trip and Havana Grey was obviously dominant over this trip so that should suit.

Miami Heat also has been nudged down 3lb for those two runs and if he’s been running at a less than optimal trip, could be well-weighted.

Tom Lunn’s Profit/Loss

• Royal Ascot: +24.52pts
• P/L from May ’24: +92.51pts
• P/L from July ’23: +305.07pts

All odds correct at time of writing

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