Horse Racing
Steve Matthews’ Saratoga selections for Saturday, July 13
Best bet: COMMUTED (8)
Best value: REBEL RED (5)
FIRST: Gerlin’s Empire compiled tight work tab for debut; ready. Dare to Breeze was a front-running third in debut; dangerous. Mezcalifornia is from a dam that produced a 2-year-old winner; worth long look.
SECOND: Mysterious Night tallied solid final fraction when second in U.S. debut; more to give. Northern Invader could prove very tough on a soft lead. Carl Spackler owns two wins from three starts on Spa sod; could easily take this.
THIRD: Nelson Avenue owns a running style that should be suited by probable pace dynamics. Top Gunner is firing bullets for first start since May; very playable. Poppy’s Pride owns speed and sharp current condition; must consider.
FOURTH: Classic Legacy should pack enhanced kick with cutback to 7 furlongs. Agoo owns speed and adds blinkers; very interesting. Vinco makes third start of form cycle; worth a look. Kunshan Bridge would be aided by pace meltdown.
FIFTH: Rebel Red tallied fast late-pace figure when winning last; takes another. Ramblin’ Wreck also packs potent late kick and owns a win and a second in two starts on Spa sod. Transactional is 1-for-1 on Saratoga turf; must consider.
SIXTH: Quick Power Nap exits strong placing in last and should have more to give in third start since layoff. Act of Congress is fleet-footed and could prove very tough on a soft lead. U Should B Dancing would benefit from fast fractions.
SEVENTH: Tough Catch is training swiftly for debut and owns win-early bloodlines. Munson was a hard-charging second in first start; dangerous. Asleep At Eight is another that was second in debut; right in the thick of this.
EIGHTH: Commuted notched sizzling final fraction when a sharp third in debut; gets there today. Hurricane Nelson is fresh, owns fast figures and gets Lasix; big-time threat. Light the Way could prove very tough on a soft lead.
NINTH: Ocean Atlantique, a sharp second in last, gets the call if able to escape AE list. Beuys will be aided by cutback to shorter route; worth long look. Phileas Fogg owns speed and drops; don’t overlook.
10TH: Didia was a clear-cut winner of Grade 1 New York last out; shows a history of paring up winning efforts. Fluffy Socks was rested after much-the-best score in Gallorette on May 18; very dangerous. Neecie Marie packs powerful late wallop; price will be tempting.
11TH: Studlydoright has yet to taste defeat in two starts; keeps on giving. Mo Plex visually and numerically impressed when winning well-bet debut by 10 lengths; serious player. Three Echoes was less than three lengths off top pick when third in Tremont; must be factored into the mix.
12TH: Dr Oseran regressed last time after fast-figured placing in prior; bounces back today. Rithm Nic takes two-level price drop; very interesting. Feathers Road owns a win on Spa grass; don’t dismiss. Heymackit’sjack was a willing third last time; price should be on your side.