Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes 2024 predictions: Favorites, sleepers, top prop picks for Royal Ascot race | Sporting News United Kingdom

Kinross (7-2)

It’s hard to get away from Kinross as the best bet in the field, as the seven-year-old colt has put together such a stellar racing resume over the past four years. The softer conditions at Great Britain’s Ascot Race Course play to Kinross’s endurance and stamina, and his strong positional speed should help him navigate through the packed field of elite sprinters.

Over his dozen races since July 2022, Kinross has compiled six wins, three runner-up finishes, and two-thirds. And though he has fared better in six-furlong events than sevens like the Jubilee Stakes, he still feels like the horse to beat this Saturday.

Mill Stream (4-1)

Mill Stream seems like the only other logical choice to list as a “best bet,” and not just because he holds the second-shortest odds. This four-year-old colt has plenty of experience — and success — in six-furlong races, with three such victories over his six starts since August 2023. That strong stretch includes a victory at the Duke of York Stakes, a solid prep for this event.

If not for losing the Abernant Stakes by a 3/4 length in April, Mill Stream would have victories in five of the nine six-furlong races he has entered since his 2022 maiden. He’s a warhorse sprinter with a lot of fight, and he could very well emerge as the next Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes champion. 

Believing (8-1 to win)

A busy four-year-old filly, Believing might be the best value on the board at 8-1. But if you can’t stomach betting her to win outright, you can’t go wrong with either betting her to win/place/show or adding her into a trifecta or exacta box with Kinross and/or Mill Stream.

It’s easy to see why many betting experts like Believing to place in the top two or three this weekend. In 12 career six-furlong races, she has four wins, three seconds, and a third. And four of the five victories she has mounted over her two-year career have come since April 2023. The song of Day 5 might be “Don’t Stop Believing!”

Khaadem (20-1)

Although facing much shorter odds than his 80-1 last year, reigning champion Khaadem once again finds himself near the bottom of the betting board at 20-1. If not for the stunning upset 12 months ago, he might not even be in this race.

At eight years old with no other wins since last year’s event (and just one other victory since July 2022), a bet on Khaadem seems very risky. The field is far too competitive and the value just isn’t there at these odds. Don’t wager on lightning striking twice. 

Shartash (6-1)

Shartash has gone undefeated since Archie Watson took over as trainer this year, with wins at Haydock Park and Thirsk. While not experienced in large-field events like this weekend’s Jubilee, he has displayed tremendous speed figures and impressive stamina in soft ground conditions. 

Mitbaahy (6-1)

Similar to Shartash, Mitbaahy has just three starts for trainer Charlie Hills, but the five-year-old colt is coming off a big victory at Curragh on May 25. With six career wins and under the same trainer who elevated Khaadem to his shocking victory last year, Mitbaahy and his investors will have plenty of confidence going into the weekend. 

Washington Heights (12-1)

In a stacked race of experienced sprinters, you won’t find many true contenders longer than 12-1. Washington Heights easily makes the best outright case of the horses with the eight-longest odds.

A four-year-old from Washington DC, this gelding already has two wins and one runner-up over his six-race career and has never finished worse than fourth. If you want a shot at a bigger payday without putting a ton at stake, turn to Washington Heights.

Here are the 10 most recent winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, including their age at the time of the race, native country, and winning morning-line odds.